12/08/16

Good Evening, The market continues to move up as it envisions a business friendly Trump Administration. Also providing tail winds today was better than expected jobless data and a probable Fed interest rate increase next week. You say you understand the first two but thought increasing interest rates are a bad thing? When they get too high they are. However, right now they are still at historic lows and a rate increase is a signal that the weak economy that brought about the low rates in the first place is now strong enough to support higher rates. Last but not least is the fact that higher rates will allow banks to make more money which in turn moves the financial sector higher and the financial sector which has been beaten down badly in 2009 still has a lot of room to run. Finally, one last factor that is loosely related to higher rates is fact that money has been moving out of bonds and that money has no better place to go than into stocks. Higher interest rates or even speculation of higher interest rates causes bonds to sell off. Couple all that with a little Santa Rally and you have the current market. Bottom line is that it’s moving up and we must always respect the pricing action.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment moved up another +1.10%. For comparison the Dow put up another new record with a gain of +0.33%, the Nasdaq +0.44%, and the S&P 500 +0.22%. We had them covered today. God continues to bless our group!

 

Wall Street again marks new highs in post-election run

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allotment is now +9.66% for the year not including today’s gains. Here are the latest posted results:

12/07/16 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.1631 17.4497 30.8695 41.3463 24.549
$ Change 0.0010 0.0484 0.4066 0.3945 0.4217
% Change day +0.01% +0.28% +1.33% +0.96% +1.75%
% Change week +0.03% +0.26% +2.28% +3.35% +3.16%
% Change month +0.04% +0.17% +1.97% +2.68% +3.22%
% Change year +1.66% +2.92% +12.00% +17.34% +1.88%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.3904 24.4627 26.8318 28.6753 16.3323
$ Change 0.0557 0.1502 0.2403 0.2977 0.1906
% Change day +0.30% +0.62% +0.90% +1.05% +1.18%
% Change week +0.58% +1.18% +1.74% +2.03% +2.30%
% Change month +0.53% +1.07% +1.57% +1.83% +2.08%
% Change year +3.47% +5.40% +7.06% +7.92% +8.69%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
c-fund
S Fund:
s-fund
I Fund:
i-fund
F Fund:
f-fund
There’s nothing to really do but sit back and enjoy the ride at this point. We’ll continue to monitor the charts. Eventually things will change. They always do. However right now the market is moving  according to our analysis. God is clearly blessing our group. Be sure and give Him all the praise! That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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  • 05/12/25

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  • 05/05/25

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