Good Evening,
The V Shaped bounce is on… again. This time fueled by the FED and Santa Claus (the Santa Rally). Of course, I’m out of trades in TSP so it held steady, but our AMP allocation made a real nice gain and the great thing about it is that it wasn’t all in equities so we are protected on the downside when it comes.
US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-S&P 500 posts biggest gain since Jan 2013; tech leads
The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/G. Our allocation is now -3.34% on the year not including today’s results. Remember, the auto tracker is inaccurate as it miscalculated our return yesterday. You may refer to the Newsletter dated 12/17/14 for the details. Here are the latest posted results:
| 12/17/14 | |||||
| Fund | G Fund | F Fund | C Fund | S Fund | I Fund |
| Price | 14.6053 | 16.759 | 26.5396 | 35.3337 | 23.912 |
| $ Change | 0.0008 | -0.0399 | 0.5310 | 0.9093 | 0.0223 |
| % Change day | +0.01% | -0.24% | +2.04% | +2.64% | +0.09% |
| % Change week | +0.03% | -0.26% | +0.54% | +1.29% | -0.79% |
| % Change month | +0.11% | -0.05% | -2.54% | -1.69% | -5.34% |
| % Change year | +2.23% | +6.46% | +11.16% | +4.94% | -6.46% |
| L INC | L 2020 | L 2030 | L 2040 | L 2050 | |
| Price | 17.362 | 22.6421 | 24.4543 | 25.9496 | 14.6883 |
| $ Change | 0.0548 | 0.1755 | 0.2484 | 0.3106 | 0.1960 |
| % Change day | +0.32% | +0.78% | +1.03% | +1.21% | +1.35% |
| % Change week | +0.07% | +0.14% | +0.19% | +0.24% | +0.26% |
| % Change month | -0.55% | -1.62% | -2.08% | -2.37% | -2.73% |
| % Change year | +3.24% | +3.88% | +4.24% | +4.49% | +4.44% |
Here’s what the C Fund looked like today. (Chart courtesy of stockcharts.com)
All I can say is WOW. If you look at charts all the way back to the 80’s, you won’t see more than a handful of these bounces and here are three in one chart! If you expand the chart to twelve months then you will see five of them. Five! OK, buy-and-holders, I concede this year to you. Now, what’s your ten year average? Not so good you say. Wanna bet that the next ten won’t be any better? You’re on!! Good riddance to 2014! Even a blind squirrel gets a nut every now and then. With two out of three indicators now in the positive, the C Fund generated a neutral signal and is getting stronger.
Nothing I can do in TSP but watch. Did I say good riddance to 2014?! For those of you who are still holding, watch the signals. I will be going to even harder indicators to keep from being whipsawed. That’s all for tonight! May God continue to bless your trades. Have a nice evening!
God bless,
Scott
