12/28/17

Good Evening, Low volume and low volatility again ruled the day as tech stocks led a modest uptrend. There’s really not much to say beyond that. It still appears that the big dogs are holding off on any major moves until January. I look for a lot of re-positioning next week.We will see.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +0.36%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.26%, the Nasdaq +0.16%, and the S&P 500 +0.18%. Praise God for another good day!

 

The days trading left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +19.74% on the year not including the days gains which will put us over +20.00% for the year! Here are the latest posted gains:

 

12/27/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.5365 18.1023 37.7277 48.6052 30.7056
$ Change 0.0010 0.0554 0.0319 0.0163 0.1093
% Change day +0.01% +0.31% +0.08% +0.03% +0.36%
% Change week +0.03% +0.44% -0.01% +0.11% +0.45%
% Change month +0.18% +0.41% +1.43% +0.76% +1.11%
% Change year +2.30% +3.75% +22.20% +18.56% +24.81%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.5486 26.8916 30.745 33.4917 19.406
$ Change 0.0107 0.0219 0.0368 0.0457 0.0288
% Change day +0.05% +0.08% +0.12% +0.14% +0.15%
% Change week +0.08% +0.10% +0.13% +0.14% +0.15%
% Change month +0.40% +0.58% +0.84% +0.95% +1.05%
% Change year +6.18% +9.86% +14.57% +16.81% +18.87%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund: Price has formed a bullish wedge pattern. If the pattern executes and I think it will, we should see the pop in the S Fund that we expected in early December albeit a little late in January. Better late than never……..
I  Fund:
F Fund:
 I must admit that I am a little disappointed that small caps have not performed as well as they traditionally do in December. However, as I mentioned above, the chart for the S Fund is looking bullish. Should the bullish wedge pattern execute we should see the move up in January that we expected in December and that makes sense as small caps will probably benefit the most from the new tax bill. While not totally made up of small caps the S Fund does contain a great deal of them and thus stands to benefit as we move forward. As for the move not coming in December, I have a theory and it’s just that a theory. I think a lot of investors are waiting until after the first of the year to do their selling to take advantage of the reduction in taxes. That could result in a dip in the beginning of January but I feel that they will reinvest that money in areas that stand to gain the most from the new tax bill. If I am correct the rally will go on albeit at a muted pace compared to 2017. Either way, we will continue to watch our charts and react to what we see. Sometimes things go as expected and sometimes they don’t. Tomorrow we will close out the books on 2017 and given decent day should finish out the year with a 20 percent gain. I give all credit to our heavenly Father who has again blessed this group. Be sure and give Him all the praise for He and He alone is worthy! That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…