Good Evening, This market is literally driving me crazy! The Geopolitical stuff keeps changing every day and keeps causing the market to swing wildly between the theme that the AI trade is the future to maybe it’s not the future and we’d better move our funds into safe havens and value. One day it’s a big day for tech and the next day investors can’t sell their tech fast enough. It’s impossible to be invested in the right place whether you are trying to buy and hold, swing trade, or follow the trend. You are in the right place on one day and losing money the next regardless of your strategy. Folks, that’s just the nature of this market and you simply have to hang with it the best that you can. This afternoon I issued an Alert to move to 100/I. I have resisted that move up to this point as there is no chart that tracks the new I fund 100%, but I simply had to capitulate as It continues to consistently outperform the C and S funds. It’s gone on too long. We’ll just have to use the chart for the EAFE which includes China. It’s the best we’ve got at this point. I’ve looked for hours and I’ve even asked AI the if it could find an ETF that tracks the index. It’s answer was identical to what I found. So we’ll see how it goes. I’m not happy with the situation but it is what it is. My goal here is to be in the right place which we have not been for a while until this move. We knew the old I fund chart was better than he C and S funds but what we didn’t know was how well it correlates with the new I fund.  I guess we’ll find out now. Sooner or later it was inevitable that we would be forced to move to the new I Fund. Chart or no chart……. Okay, so what about this week? The market began the week of with significant volatility as investors grappled with new 15% global tariffs announced by President Trump following a Supreme Court ruling against his previous “reciprocal” duties. The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered a sharp decline of over 800 points (1.7%) today, led by heavy losses in financial and software sectors amid renewed fears of AI-driven industry disruption. The Nasdaq declined 1.13% and ended at 22,627.27 while the S&P 500 shed 1.04% and closed at 6,837.75, putting it into the red once again for 2026. Here’s what’s on tap for the remainder of the week. 

• Trade Policy & Tariffs: Following a Supreme Court rebuff of broader trade policies, the administration implemented an immediate 15% global tariff for 150 days. This has heightened concerns over global trade deals and inflation, driving gold prices to a three-week high of $5,198 as a safe-haven asset.
• Nvidia Earnings (Wednesday): All eyes are on Nvidia (NVDA), which reports quarterly earnings on Wednesday afternoon. Analysts view this as a critical “tone-setter” for a struggling technology sector currently under pressure from AI disruption worries.
• Economic Indicators: The calendar is relatively light but features the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday, February 27, where a 0.3% month-over-month increase is expected.
• Federal Reserve Stance: Governor Christopher Waller indicated on Monday that the tariff ruling is unlikely to change the Fed’s current “hold” on rate cuts, citing a stabilizing labor market and sticky inflation.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Markets are monitoring potential conflict between the U.S. and Iran, with more talks scheduled this week. Any escalation could significantly impact WTI oil prices, which are currently testing resistance near $67.86.

• Tuesday: Home Depot (HD), Baidu (BIDU)
• Wednesday: Nvidia (NVDA), Salesforce (CRM), Snowflake (SNOW), Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
• Thursday: Dell Technologies (DELL), Realty Income (O) 

There you have it. We’ll keep an eye on our charts and see what happens. I’m sure we’ll lose some performance when the S Fund bounces back from it’s horrendous day today but that’s just the price we’ll have to pay to be in the right place… for now.

I’ll forgo the usual charts this week as it’s getting late. Last weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Sell, S-Sell, I-Buy, and F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/S but will move to 100/I at the close of business tomorrow. Our allocation is now -1.07%  for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

More Prices & Returns

Sometimes you just have to make things right. We have done that now. That’s all for this week. Have a great day and may God continue to bless your trades.

God bless, Scott 

***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.

I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.

If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com.