Good Afternoon, Are ya’ll getting motion sickness? I think I am. What a volatile up and down, give and take market! It looks like its going to be a bad day then it reverses. Then is looks like we’re going to make a lot of money and the market tanks. There’s just no rest for the weary. Today was another such reversal. We started out the morning in the red with the headlines reading that the peace talks for the war with Iran had fallen apart, that the war would last longer than we thought and next President Trump ordered a blockade of Iranian ports. All this with the price of oil spiking…….again. Someone commented of our Facebook page that things were not looking too good and I must say they were not, but then……. investors though about it and decided that the war still might be over in a short time. I could comment on that for a paragraph or two. As I said last week, the Iranians might be crazy enough to think they have some leverage to bargain with. After all, they aren’t exactly kn0wn for being reasonable. Crazy or not, I think our fine men and women in uniform can make them reasonable in short order. What is it they say….. necessity is the mother of invention? I’m sure that the lack of options available to them will quickly restore their sanity and the market agrees with me. That is why the market is higher this afternoon. Just think of it like this. Investors are betting that President Trump will secure a peace deal one way or the other. After all, he holds all the cards. The straight of Hormuz WILL be opened and the Iranians WILL NOT have a nuclear weapon, but as long as they have the illusion that they can accomplish either one of those things, the market will remain volatile. Hopefully earnings will keep the positive action going! Here’s what the week ahead looks like. We’ll see how it goes!
Week ahead calendar
All times ET.
Monday, April 13
10:00 a.m. Existing Home Sales (March)
Earnings: Goldman Sachs Group
Tuesday, April 14
6:00 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (March)
8:15 a.m. ADP Weekly Employment change (03/28)
8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (March)
Earnings: Citigroup, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Johnson & Johnson, BlackRock
Wednesday, April 15
8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (March)
8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (March)
8:30 a.m. Empire State Index (April)
10:00 a.m. NAHB Housing Market Index (April)
Earnings: J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, The PNC Financial Services Group, M&T Bank, Progressive
Thursday, April 16
8:30 a.m. Initial Claims (04/11)
8:30 a.m. Philadelphia Fed Index (April)
9:15 a.m. Capacity Utilization (March)
9:15 a.m. Industrial Production (March)
Earnings: Netflix, Prologis, Abbott Laboratories, The Travelers Cos., U.S. Bancorp, KeyCorp, The Bank of New York Mellon, Citizens Financial Group, PepsiCo, Charles Schwab, Marsh & McLennan
Friday, April 17
Earnings: State Street, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, Truist Financial
The days action so far has left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment is in the green by +0.85%. For comparison, the Dow is adding +0.49%, the Nasdaq +0.95%, and the S&P 500 +85%. It’s a solid day in the green. Praise God for that!
S&P 500 jumps, making up earlier losses, as investors bet Trump will get an Iran peace deal: Live updates
Last weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/I. Our allocation is now -3.41% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:
| 04/10/26 | Prior Prices | ||||
| Fund | G Fund | F Fund | C Fund | S Fund | I Fund |
| Price | 19.8154 | 20.9622 | 109.4304 | 103.1166 | 60.3073 |
| $ Change | 0.0023 | -0.0255 | -0.1141 | -0.4028 | 0.2726 |
| % Change day | +0.01% | -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.39% | +0.45% |
| % Change week | +0.10% | +0.13% | +3.58% | +2.75% | +5.30% |
| % Change month | +0.12% | +0.34% | +4.45% | +3.97% | +6.71% |
| % Change year | +1.16% | +0.39% | -0.08% | +2.70% | +8.68% |
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