04/06/2015

Good Evening,

As long as there’s a little cheap FED money and interest rates stay low, it’s all good…….. You remember last week I said the way that the market would go on Monday would depend on how the market would react to the jobs report. Well, the jobs report was issued on Friday and only half the jobs that were anticipated were actually created. That is flat bad news. But, as long as interest rates stay low it’s all good… So the market did the unthinkable, as it has done so many times in past 5 years, and rallied. Like I said last week, even if you know what the news is going to be, you really can’t predict how the market will react to it. Also, in keeping with recent years’ action, once the market started up, the fear of being left behind started to set in…….

 

The day’s action left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment added an impressive +0.852% while AMP gained +0.289%. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.66%, the Nasdaq +0.62%, the S&P 500 +0.66%, AT&T +0.60%, Alaska Air -1.06%, Facebook +1.09% and Apple closed at +1.62%. Thank God for another good day!

Wall Street ends higher as weak data reduces rate hike worries

 

The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 05/C, 32/S, 63/I. Our allocation is now +2.55% on the year, not including today’s gains. Here are the latest posted results:
04/02/15
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.6859 17.1082 27.4203 38.315 25.8973
$ Change 0.0007 -0.0283 0.0972 0.1597 0.2623
% Change day +0.00% -0.17% +0.36% +0.42% +1.02%
% Change week +0.03% +0.26% +0.32% +1.02% +0.06%
% Change month +0.01% +0.14% -0.03% +0.17% +1.16%
% Change year +0.47% +1.82% +0.94% +5.56% +6.93%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.6443 23.3799 25.4492 27.1542 15.4504
$ Change 0.0176 0.0648 0.0910 0.1109 0.0731
% Change day +0.10% +0.28% +0.36% +0.41% +0.48%
% Change week +0.11% +0.21% +0.27% +0.32% +0.35%
% Change month +0.08% +0.19% +0.24% +0.27% +0.32%
% Change year +1.11% +2.10% +2.59% +2.94% +3.29%
Now let’s hit the charts!

C Fund:  Price regained its 20 EMA which will steer the C Fund away from a sell signal. However, it is still at a neutral with two indicators in negative configurations. The 100 EMA is currently acting as support. The next resistance is at around 2093. All signals are annotated with green circles.

1

S Fund: Price again closed above its 5 EMA. The MAC D and PMO are improving and could soon generate buy signals if price holds above the 5 EMA. All signals are annotated with green circles.

2

I Fund: The I Fund out-performed again today with price blowing through resistance at 65.30. Following one of the tried and true rules of technical analysis, resistance now becomes support. This chart is still an overall neutral. However, the PMO and MAC D have improved and are a frog hair from generating an overall buy signal for this fund. All signals are annotated with green circles.

3

F Fund: The F Fund keeps chugging along and will do so as long as the low interest rate environment remains. Today’s poor jobs report will probably ensure that remains the case. All signals are annotated with green circles.

4

It was a surprise start to the week. Let’s pray that we will see some follow through on today’s rally. Seasonality remains favorable, but May lurks in the not-too-distant future. We’ll keep an eye on the charts and see where it all goes! Have a great evening and enjoy tonight’s game.
I don’t really care who wins cause as they say in Georgia I ain’t got no dawg in that fight.
God bless,
Scott8-)

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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