02/10/16

Good Evening, The market had reassuring words from Janet Yellen and good news from Deutche Bank, but in the end it wasn’t enough. After rallying most of the day, the market sold off in the afternoon finishing at it’s lows of the day. Of the major indices, only the Nasdaq managed to close in the green. The days negatives were weakness in oil and financials. If you ask me, it’s just typical bear market action. Trapped bulls are going take every opportunity to escape by selling into strength…..

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment was steady in the G Fund. For comparison the Dow dropped -0.62%, the Nasdaq held onto +0.35%, and the S&P 500 was flat at -0.02%. Like it or not, this market is still in a downtrend.

 

S&P 500 ends flat; Fed sees risks but unlikely to reverse course

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Sell, S-Sell, I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/G. Our allocation is now +0.24% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

02/09/16 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.9508 17.3064 25.0341 29.9402 21.4463
$ Change 0.0008 -0.0078 -0.0116 -0.1743 -0.2095
% Change day +0.01% -0.05% -0.05% -0.58% -0.97%
% Change week +0.02% +0.38% -1.45% -2.91% -3.25%
% Change month +0.05% +0.58% -4.44% -6.91% -5.69%
% Change year +0.24% +2.07% -9.17% -15.03% -10.99%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.4404 22.0741 23.3675 24.469 13.6643
$ Change -0.0134 -0.0411 -0.0607 -0.0748 -0.0480
% Change day -0.08% -0.19% -0.26% -0.30% -0.35%
% Change week -0.40% -1.00% -1.39% -1.63% -1.88%
% Change month -0.97% -2.40% -3.31% -3.86% -4.42%
% Change year -1.87% -4.89% -6.77% -7.91% -9.06%

 

Lets take a look at the charts: (All signals annotated with Green Circles) If you click on the charts they will become larger!  I’ve added a new indicator tonight. I replaced the Accumulation / Distribution Line with the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator. It tells us pretty much the same thing which is how much money is flowing into or out of a stock or fund. It is on a graduated scale with zero being neutral. Above zero indicates more buying. Below zero indicates more selling. It is a little easier to read. We’ll see if it helps with our analysis….

C Fund: The C Fund generated a sell signal when the PMO and MACD moved into negative configurations. Support is still holding at 185. So far so good with that, but it may not hold for long

C Fund

 

S Fund:

S Fund

 

I Fund:

I Fund

 

F Fund: Folks, this fund is working great. I was going to change our allocation to 100/F from 100/G if Janet Yellen gave any indication that a rate hike was off in March. Unfortunately she did not. So we’ll stay in the G for now.

F Fund

 

We remain in a bear market and our primary objective at this time is to preserve capital. If we keep our powder dry we’ll have plenty of fuel to propel us higher when the market finally turns up! That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades.

God bless, Scott 8-)

 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




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