04/12/17

Good Evening, The market spent the day working it’s way lower on Geo-political concerns and a Trump comment about the dollar being too high. One thing I noticed during todays trading that is a change in recent patterns was that most of the dip buyers failed to show up which left stocks to close near their lows. Does this mean we’re starting a bear market? It’s way too early to make a call like that. However, any change in the current pattern is a reason to raise our level of attention. Recent trading has had negative bias and it’s not likely to improve much until we get through a crisis or two (i.e. Syria and North Korea).  One thing that did help us some today was the drop in the dollar after Trumps comments. That resulted in some badly needed out performance by the I Fund. Sometimes we have to take small victories where we can get them.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment slipped back -0.08%. That’s not bad when compared to the Dow which dropped -0.29%, the Nasdaq -0.52%, the S&P 500 -0.38% and the S Fund which fell a whopping -1.06%. God was good to us today.

 

Wall Street ends lower; Trump comments dampen sentiment late

 

The days action left us wit the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Buy, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/I. Our allotment is now +2.40% on the year not including the days results.

04/11/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.2871 17.7193 32.6498 42.7674 26.357
$ Change 0.0010 0.0643 -0.0421 0.2069 0.1016
% Change day +0.01% +0.36% -0.13% +0.49% +0.39%
% Change week +0.03% +0.45% -0.05% +0.76% +0.45%
% Change month +0.07% +0.62% -0.30% -0.24% -0.20%
% Change year +0.66% +1.55% +5.76% +4.32% +7.13%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.7353 25.1826 27.9152 29.986 17.1575
$ Change 0.0092 0.0181 0.0280 0.0352 0.0222
% Change day +0.05% +0.07% +0.10% +0.12% +0.13%
% Change week +0.09% +0.13% +0.17% +0.20% +0.22%
% Change month +0.04% -0.03% -0.10% -0.14% -0.18%
% Change year +1.77% +2.88% +4.02% +4.59% +5.10%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund: Price keeps moving up and the SCTR has begun to move up. This one may work it’s way into a buy signal despite anything we may think or say. We’re looking for 40 on the SCTR here.
 World events are starting to take their toll. The continued climb of the F Fund shows the move into safe havens by investors. We’ll keep a close eye on all of it. No serious technical damage has been done just yet, but we’re inching in that direction. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 10/06/25

    Good Afternoon, I am certainly praying for all of you effected by the ongoing government shutdown. I have been there done that and it was no fun. So far the market has shook the shutdown off as it obviously thinks that it won’t last long. My thought is that the market won’t give the shutdown…

  • 09/29/25

    Good Morning, Well this months almost over and so far the major indices are still holding modest gains in the +1.5% range. If we can manage to hold onto or add to those gains we will have achieved what a lot of folks said we could not do. We will have made a profit when…

  • 09/22/25

    Good Morning, Well we got the Fed meeting that we wanted with a quarter point interest rate decrease with the indication that the Fed is planning on two more rate cuts in 2025. As a result, we find ourselves in the odd position of holding a profit in late September. I said in last weeks…