05/04/17

Good Evening, Today is the National Day of Prayer so if you haven’t already done so take a moment to pray for our Nation and it’s leaders. For God’s word says “If my people who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, Then will I hear from Heaven and will forgive their sin and heal their land.” Oh yes, one more thing before I move on to the day. You know you are starting to get old when you are afraid you will forget to say something and say it immediately for that reason. Let me do so now before I forget this again! A short while back I posted a few sources to help folks better understand the charts as I always have a lot of them wanting to do so. However, I forgot to mention one thing so let me mention it now. If you haven’t already done so, please join us on our Facebook page. I usually post a couple articles a day there about the charts by some great Technicians. Not only will you learn to better understand the charts, but the posts will also help you make market decisions. The majority of the posts use charts to highlight current market conditions and explain in detail what they are illustrating. They only take about five minutes a day to look at and I promise you that if you give them a glance you will start to understand the charts in no time at all!  Now on to todays stuff…

The market drifted again today as it stood back and watched the action on capital hill as congress voted on health care. Tomorrow, we have the all important jobs report on tap. Investors will be looking at those numbers closely to determine how soon the Fed will hike rates. Right now the talking heads are saying there is a 67% chance that the next rate hike will come in June. Today’s vote on health care while not effected the market directly can have a great impact indirectly. The rally that has occurred since November has been, is, and will be about deregulation and tax reform. The market views this as creating a more friendly business environment. Investors see Republican success in passing health care legislation as a signal that they can also cooperate with each other on tax reform. If market players see that there is a good chance that tax reform will be passed then this rally is most likely not done. Plain and simple, that’s it.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment added +0.95%. No that’s not a typo! That’s out performance!! I thank God again for guiding our group as He always has. For comparison, the Dow dropped -0.03%, the Nasdaq gained +0.05%, and the S&P 500 was up +0.06%.

 

Wall Street on Pause After GOP Scores Narrow Victory With Health Care Vote

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/I. Our allocation is now +6.52% on the year. Here are the latest posted results:

05/04/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.3099 17.7076 33.1662 43.023 27.4186
$ Change 0.0009 -0.0387 0.0213 -0.1046 0.1498
% Change day +0.01% -0.22% +0.06% -0.24% +0.55%
% Change week +0.02% -0.26% +0.25% -0.79% +1.17%
% Change month +0.02% -0.26% +0.25% -0.79% +1.17%
% Change year +0.81% +1.49% +7.43% +4.94% +11.45%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.8368 25.4179 28.3035 30.4668 17.4662
$ Change 0.0047 0.0140 0.0253 0.0318 0.0210
% Change day +0.02% +0.06% +0.09% +0.10% +0.12%
% Change week +0.08% +0.14% +0.22% +0.25% +0.28%
% Change month +0.08% +0.14% +0.22% +0.25% +0.28%
% Change year +2.32% +3.84% +5.47% +6.26% +6.99%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
 
C Fund: Price is in a bullish wedge pattern. The pattern will execute when the upper trend line is penetrated. If that happens we’re moving higher!!
S Fund: Price remains within an ascending channel but the SCTR has dropped to 67.5.
I Fund: Price broke through the upper trend line and the SCTR has now risen to 85.9. Extremely bullish!
F Fund: Price is in a bearish wedge pattern. This one is getting weaker. I don’t expect it to remain on neutral for long. The SCTR is in the basement!
That’s all for tonight. I think the market is primed for a nice bounce tomorrow. Of course that will all depend on the Department of Labor Jobs report. See you tomorrow!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 




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