08/04/17

Good Evening, The jobs report came in better than expected and spurred some buying for the day. The action was quite subdued considering how oversold the average stock really is. The news likely spurred computer programs to buy this morning. As I have repeatedly noted, August and September are slow months for the market. It seems like the aforementioned computer programs are buying every dip and selling every move up which is keeping us in a tight range. A year ago we went through an extended period just like this so if you have any vacation time on the books you might want to use it…..

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment managed another small gain of +0.13%. Folks, this time of year I’m am more than pleased just to hang onto what I got! For comparison, the Dow set another record moving up again at +0.30%, the Nasdaq was +0.18%, and the S&P 500 added +0.19%. Works for me!

 

The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/I. Our allocation is now +13.31% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

08/03/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.3962 18.0256 34.4901 44.1624 29.1658
$ Change 0.0010 0.0302 -0.0685 -0.1224 0.0518
% Change day +0.01% +0.17% -0.20% -0.28% +0.18%
% Change week +0.04% +0.37% +0.04% -0.99% +1.26%
% Change month +0.02% +0.37% +0.11% -0.81% +0.99%
% Change year +1.38% +3.31% +11.72% +7.72% +18.55%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.1051 25.9683 29.1763 31.5356 18.1434
$ Change -0.0009 -0.0059 -0.0140 -0.0188 -0.0131
% Change day +0.00% -0.02% -0.05% -0.06% -0.07%
% Change week +0.10% +0.14% +0.19% +0.20% +0.21%
% Change month +0.09% +0.13% +0.17% +0.19% +0.20%
% Change year +3.77% +6.09% +8.72% +9.99% +11.13%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: The C Fund generated an overall Neutral signal when the PMO crossed down through it’s signal line to join the MACD in a negative configuration. For the most part this one is trading sideways. So look for some whipsaw signals.
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
I’m pleased with our allocation. There is no reason to even consider an adjustment at this time. The dollar has perked up a little bit which can have a negative effect on the I Fund. However, It will have to go up a lot more at this point to hurt us very much. If it happens then we’ll cross that bridge when we get to it. Other than that, we just need to set the cruise and enjoy the ride. Have a nice weekend and go out  do something fun!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 10/06/25

    Good Afternoon, I am certainly praying for all of you effected by the ongoing government shutdown. I have been there done that and it was no fun. So far the market has shook the shutdown off as it obviously thinks that it won’t last long. My thought is that the market won’t give the shutdown…


  • 09/29/25

    Good Morning, Well this months almost over and so far the major indices are still holding modest gains in the +1.5% range. If we can manage to hold onto or add to those gains we will have achieved what a lot of folks said we could not do. We will have made a profit when…


  • 09/22/25

    Good Morning, Well we got the Fed meeting that we wanted with a quarter point interest rate decrease with the indication that the Fed is planning on two more rate cuts in 2025. As a result, we find ourselves in the odd position of holding a profit in late September. I said in last weeks…