Good Evening, Although the market has been in the habit of ignoring good news lately, sometimes the news is just too good to ignore. Today was such a day when the Labor Department reported the U.S. unemployment rate dropped to near a 17-1/2-year low of 3.9 percent. Take that along with the fact that inflation is really not all that bad right now and you get a nice rally. I’d really like to tell you that the worst is now over but the truth is that I really don’t know. The three T’s (and I’m quoting Jim Cramer) which are Trump, Tariffs, and Trade can bring the market down at any time. You can bet that China will be front and center next week……
The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a nice gain of +1.28% to put us back in the green for the year. For comparison, the Dow was up +1.39%, the Nasdaq +1.71%, and the S&P 500 +1.28%. Praise God for a good day!
The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now -0.45% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:
| 05/03/18 | Prior Prices | ||||
| Fund | G Fund | F Fund | C Fund | S Fund | I Fund |
| Price | 15.6815 | 17.704 | 37.2065 | 48.6542 | 30.8985 |
| $ Change | 0.0012 | 0.0148 | -0.0792 | -0.1500 | -0.0766 |
| % Change day | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.21% | -0.31% | -0.25% |
| % Change week | +0.05% | +0.00% | -1.49% | -0.79% | -0.69% |
| % Change month | +0.02% | -0.10% | -0.68% | +0.00% | -0.76% |
| % Change year | +0.91% | -2.27% | -1.07% | +0.39% | +0.14% |
| L INC | L 2020 | L 2030 | L 2040 | L 2050 | |
| Price | 19.6505 | 26.9709 | 30.7244 | 33.4098 | 19.3325 |
| $ Change | -0.0071 | -0.0186 | -0.0419 | -0.0550 | -0.0369 |
| % Change day | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.16% | -0.19% |
| % Change week | -0.20% | -0.36% | -0.68% | -0.81% | -0.92% |
| % Change month | -0.11% | -0.20% | -0.36% | -0.43% | -0.49% |
| % Change year | +0.51% | +0.30% | -0.04% | -0.21% | -0.33% |
I have to say. it’s been a long time since I’ve seen the G Fund with the highest yearly return! Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Well another weeks behind us and we’re all pretty close to where we started the year. Of course that’s much better than being down 20% and in a bear market…. I thank God for that. That’s all for for this week. Have a great weekend and I’ll see you on Monday.
