05/07/18

Good Evening, The market continued to rally most of the day but sold off pretty hard after President Trump tweeted at 2:40 PM that he would announce a decision on the Iran deal tomorrow afternoon.  The major indices did manage to finish with respectable gains but were way off their pre-tweet highs for the day. Rejection of the deal has been highly anticipated with oil related stocks trading up in recent weeks.  Remember what we talked about yesterday? Trump, Trade, and Tweets. Three land mines that the market can step on at any time……

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +0.79%. For comparison the Dow added +0.39%, the Nasdaq +0.77%, and the S&P 500 +0.35%. Praise God for another good day!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +0.84% not including today’s gains. Here are the latest posted results.

 

05/04/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.6827 17.7074 37.6897 49.2815 30.977
$ Change 0.0012 0.0034 0.4832 0.6273 0.0785
% Change day +0.01% +0.02% +1.30% +1.29% +0.25%
% Change week +0.05% +0.02% -0.21% +0.49% -0.44%
% Change month +0.03% -0.08% +0.61% +1.29% -0.51%
% Change year +0.92% -2.25% +0.21% +1.68% +0.39%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.6904 27.0613 30.9094 33.6481 19.4892
$ Change 0.0399 0.0904 0.1850 0.2383 0.1567
% Change day +0.20% +0.34% +0.60% +0.71% +0.81%
% Change week +0.01% -0.02% -0.08% -0.10% -0.12%
% Change month +0.09% +0.14% +0.24% +0.28% +0.32%
% Change year +0.72% +0.64% +0.56% +0.51% +0.48%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: The C Fund generated an overall Buy signal today when the PMO and MACD moved into positive configurations.
S Fund: The S Fund generated an overall Buy signal when Price, the PMO, and the MACD all moved into positive configurations. I would also point out that the SCTR has now moved up to 83.9 reflecting the strength of the small caps that make up a big part of this Fund. We are in the right place!
I Fund:
F Fund:
Just remember the three T’s. Trump, Trade, and Tariffs. They are whats driving the market now. That;s all for tonight. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…