08/27/18

Good Evening, The United States and Mexico reached a trade agreement today and as we anticipated it moved the market higher. I am cautiously optimistic that we’ll see some follow though in the morning despite poor seasonality. Another factor that could add some heat to the fire is if this momentum can lead to an agreement with Canada. This little doubt that the agreement with Mexico turns of the heat on Canada. Although it will be a little more complicated, I am confident that an agreement will be reached with Canada as well. I’ll bet China is watching closely. Does this give them some incentive to reach an agreement with the U.S.??? We will see……

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment added +0.48%. For comparison, the Dow added +1.01%, the Nasdaq +0.91%, and the S&P 500 +0.77%. We talked about the fact the the large cap stocks would out perform if a trade agreement was completed. I think today definitely qualifies. I’m going to need to see an agreement with Canada and China as well before I can be all on board with big caps, but this is definitely a step in the right direction.

 

S&P 500, Nasdaq hit new highs on U.S.-Mexico trade deal

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +10.90% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

08/24/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.8232 17.9796 40.9372 54.2007 30.1682
$ Change 0.0013 -0.0038 0.2527 0.3430 0.1516
% Change day +0.01% -0.02% +0.62% +0.64% +0.51%
% Change week +0.06% +0.27% +0.88% +1.81% +1.57%
% Change month +0.20% +0.78% +2.25% +3.64% -2.18%
% Change year +1.82% -0.75% +8.85% +11.83% -2.23%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.0488 27.7011 32.0335 35.0478 20.3887
$ Change 0.0245 0.0530 0.1140 0.1480 0.0979
% Change day +0.12% +0.19% +0.36% +0.42% +0.48%
% Change week +0.30% +0.44% +0.78% +0.92% +1.05%
% Change month +0.42% +0.53% +0.80% +0.92% +1.02%
% Change year +2.55% +3.02% +4.22% +4.69% +5.11%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund: The F Fund weakened to an overall Neutral signal today when it’s SCTR dropped below 40. This is no doubt that the recent strength in equities is pulling money from bonds.

 

So far so good. I have to say that I am actually pleased with August this year and I praise God for that! That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades.

God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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