Good Evening, The market continued to trade in a somewhat subdued manner today as it continues to wait for news on the China trade negotiations. Other than tech it really wasn’t a bad day. Tesla and Microsoft drug the Nasdaq lower but the Dow and the S&P 500 manged to post modest gains. The S&P 500 continues to creep up towards it’s all time high set early last fall. It says here that it will surpass that high if and when we get a trade agreement with China. It has reached its highest level since Oct. 9 and is only 1.75% below its all-time closing high. And yes for those of you who are new to TSP, the C Fund does track the S&P 500! The market was also supported by data from the U.S. Labor Department showed that jobless claims fell to a 49-year low last week, pointing to sustained labor market strength. Folks, my indicators are pointing higher. All we need is a catalyst to get it started and I believe that will be a trade agreement with China if we can ever get one……
The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of 0.23%. For comparison the Dow was up +0.64%, the Nasdaq slipped -0.05%, and the S&P 500 added +0.21%. Praise God for another gain!
The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +9.72% on the year. Here are the latest posted results:
| 04/04/19 |
|
|
|
Prior Prices |
| Fund |
G Fund |
F Fund |
C Fund |
S Fund |
I Fund |
| Price |
16.1037 |
18.6053 |
41.5188 |
51.872 |
29.9679 |
| $ Change |
0.0011 |
0.0111 |
0.0954 |
0.0435 |
-0.0910 |
| % Change day |
+0.01% |
+0.06% |
+0.23% |
+0.08% |
-0.30% |
| % Change week |
+0.03% |
-0.39% |
+1.62% |
+1.69% |
+1.90% |
| % Change month |
+0.03% |
-0.39% |
+1.62% |
+1.69% |
+1.90% |
| % Change year |
+0.70% |
+2.55% |
+15.48% |
+17.95% |
+12.18% |
| L INC |
L 2020 |
L 2030 |
L 2040 |
L 2050 |
| Price |
20.3877 |
28.0699 |
32.3212 |
35.2596 |
20.4507 |
| $ Change |
0.0028 |
0.0041 |
0.0064 |
0.0073 |
0.0043 |
| % Change day |
+0.01% |
+0.01% |
+0.02% |
+0.02% |
+0.02% |
| % Change week |
+0.35% |
+0.49% |
+1.02% |
+1.22% |
+1.39% |
| % Change month |
+0.35% |
+0.49% |
+1.02% |
+1.22% |
+1.39% |
| % Change year |
+3.54% |
+4.76% |
+9.06% |
+10.73% |
+12.18% |
Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund: The I Fund generated an overall buy signal when the PMO and MACD moved into positive configurations. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
F Fund:
Hopefully we’ll get a trade agreement soon. However, while we anticipate a positive outcome to this situation, experience has taught us to always watch our charts for changes in the market as many times they are not the changes we anticipated. I’m pretty sure we would have even better results if we never looked at the news. While it sometimes helps it often hurts. I prefer to regard it as noise. Our charts will tell us what to do irregardless of what the news may or may not say. I would only have to point to last fall to prove that fact…..That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 
***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at KyFan1@aol.com.
