05/23/19

Good Evening, More trade news and another swing! Today the Chinese released a statement saying that the US would have to change it’s wrong ways in order for trade talks to move forward. The result was another sizable sell off. I wouldn’t term it as panic selling. It was more like high anxiety selling. It was good for our group though. Bonds were back in vogue. Our allocation in the F Fund posted a modest gain on this otherwise dismal day! As I mentioned several times recently, this volatile action will continue until we get a resolution to the trade war between the US and China. I will also point out that the action continues to have a negative bias. In other words it continues to drift lower. And one more thing. I’,m sure with the long weekend approaching that many traders don’t want to hold stocks for three days given the high level of anxiety so they  started dumping them adding to the days downtrend. My point in mentioning that is that the market should be primed for a nice bounce on Tuesday. We will see…..I don’t expect much tomorrow for the aforementioned reason. But you never know these days. We could be one tweet away from a major rally.

The days selling left us with the following results: Our TSP allocation posted a gain of +0.29%. For comparison, the Dow lost 1.11%, the Nasdaq -1.58%, and the S&P 500 -1.19%. Praise God for a good day the F Fund!

 

 

Trade tensions slam Wall St. as global growth worries mount

The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Sell, S-Sell, I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/F. Our allocation is now +10.34% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

05/22/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.1569 18.7858 41.2926 51.132 29.4487
$ Change 0.0011 0.0266 -0.1162 -0.3556 -0.0595
% Change day +0.01% +0.14% -0.28% -0.69% -0.20%
% Change week +0.03% -0.02% -0.11% -0.24% -0.31%
% Change month +0.15% +0.56% -2.87% -3.33% -2.71%
% Change year +1.03% +3.54% +14.85% +16.27% +10.24%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.4048 28.0652 32.171 35.0371 20.2909
$ Change -0.0103 -0.0207 -0.0568 -0.0754 -0.0508
% Change day -0.05% -0.07% -0.18% -0.21% -0.25%
% Change week -0.02% -0.03% -0.11% -0.14% -0.16%
% Change month -0.45% -0.67% -1.64% -1.99% -2.30%
% Change year +3.63% +4.75% +8.55% +10.03% +11.31%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: The C Fund generated an overall Sell signal when it’s 5 EMA passed down through it’s 50 EMA. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA  or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
This time we stuck with our charts and so far the results bear that out. That’s all for tonight! Have a great weekend and remember those who sacrificed so much that we might be free!
God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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