11/26/19

Good Evening, The market inched higher today as the US creeps closer to a trade deal with China. President Trump said  today that we are very close to phase 1 of a trade deal with China, that Washington is in the “final throes” of work on a deal that would defuse a 16-month trade war with Beijing. The market meanwhile remains in somewhat of a holding pattern as it waits for the deal to be inked. After all, we don’t really have a deal until we have one. If we indeed get one before the end of the year it will be “Santa Rally On”! I might add that I believe it will move the market incrementally higher over the intermediate term as well given the boost that it will provide for the world economy. After that we’ll see, but for now my charts all predict that the market is moving higher…….

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment tacked on +0.22%. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.20%, the Nasdaq +0.18%, and the S&P 500 +0.22%. Praise God for another nice day!

 

Wall Street crawls to record levels on trade hopes

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +13.11% not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results.

 

11/25/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.3209 19.7237 45.7535 54.9658 31.7492
$ Change 0.0024 0.0221 0.3461 0.8327 0.2215
% Change day +0.01% +0.11% +0.76% +1.54% +0.70%
% Change week +0.01% +0.11% +0.76% +1.54% +0.70%
% Change month +0.12% -0.10% +3.35% +4.30% +1.34%
% Change year +2.05% +8.71% +27.26% +24.99% +18.85%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 21.0211 29.0427 34.2009 37.5882 21.9303
$ Change 0.0412 0.0676 0.1787 0.2344 0.1563
% Change day +0.20% +0.23% +0.53% +0.63% +0.72%
% Change week +0.20% +0.23% +0.53% +0.63% +0.72%
% Change month +0.66% +0.78% +1.70% +2.01% +2.29%
% Change year +6.76% +8.39% +15.40% +18.04% +20.30%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.

 

C Fund:

S Fund:

 

I Fund:

 

F Fund:

So far so good. As long as nothing negative happens with the China deal we should have a great holiday season. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!

God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • *****Interfund Transfer******

    Good Day, It’s time to adjust our mix. The new mix is 100/S. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. Those future contributions should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your…

  • 12/08/25

    Good Morning, We got a great PCE report on Friday showing relatively tame inflation.  The Commerce Department said that the core personal consumption expenditures price index for September – which was delayed due to the record-setting U.S. government shutdown – showed an annual rate of 2.8%, lower than the 2.9% Dow Jones estimate. Core PCE’s 0.2%…

  • 12/01/25

    Good Morning, Well we’ve finally arrived at the last month of 2025 and I’m glad to get here. Statistically speaking December is the third beast month for the market with average return of greater than 1 percent. It seems like this year has been one where the market was on the verge of breaking out…