12/16/19

Good Evening, We finally got our China trade deal or at least part of one. China and the US announced Friday that they have arrived at a Phase one trade agreement. The details are a bit sketchy but what we do know is that the new tariffs that were scheduled to be added today were delayed, at least some existing tariffs already in place will be rolled back, and the Chinese have agreed to buy a large quantity of US agricultural products. I’m sure additional details will be released in the coming days. The announcement has had the anticipated effect on the market with new highs being set the past two sessions. Also bolstering stocks was a report showing the Chinese economy was doing well, data released early on Monday showed China’s industrial output and retail sales growth accelerated in November. It’s not just about the US anymore. It’s a world market and when the second largest economy in the world is doing well it shows the the world market is still in good shape. The bottom line is that we’ve survived this trade war… At least for now.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a nice gain of +0.71%. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.36%, the Nasdaq +0.91%, and the S&P 500 +0.71%. Praise God for another good day!

 

Wall Street sets records anew on trade deal boost

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +14.52% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

 

12/13/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.3354 19.7477 46.3252 55.093 32.3553
$ Change 0.0008 0.0890 0.0102 -0.1326 0.2345
% Change day +0.00% +0.45% +0.02% -0.24% +0.73%
% Change week +0.04% +0.28% +0.77% +0.06% +1.72%
% Change month +0.06% +0.08% +0.98% +0.00% +2.10%
% Change year +2.15% +8.85% +28.85% +25.28% +21.12%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 21.097 29.1635 34.4897 37.9579 22.1713
$ Change 0.0170 0.0266 0.0597 0.0762 0.0492
% Change day +0.08% +0.09% +0.17% +0.20% +0.22%
% Change week +0.26% +0.30% +0.63% +0.74% +0.84%
% Change month +0.32% +0.37% +0.77% +0.90% +1.01%
% Change year +7.15% +8.84% +16.37% +19.21% +21.62%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
I’m very satisfied with our allocations performance so far in December. I certainly wish we’d have nailed it like this all year long. I feel like we left a little on the table, but I must chalk that up to playing it safe…. That said, I am eternally grateful to our Heavenly Father for guiding us to another successful year! Speaking of success, a while back I said to be patient with the blogs as they might not be as regular as they usually are due to the fact that we were looking for our forever home. Well we actually ended up building one which has taken a whole lot longer than we had initially anticipated. We will finally get in on this Thursday. Of course I thank God for that! However, my main reason for telling you this is just to let you know that my blogs should get back on somewhat of a regular schedule in 2020! I don’t do bad for an old retired guy, but as those of you who have been with me a while know, I am usually a little better than I have been since early spring. Well this is why!! Here’s to moving forward! That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 


Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…

  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…

  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…