Brexit – 06/25/16

Good Day, I know a lot of you are in the Panic mode. If you continue to listen to the media that’s exactly where you will remain. Whether the situation is bad or good, it’s cool heads with a game plan that will emerge from the carnage of a major selloff. So, what is our game plan in the wake of yesterdays historic vote by Britain to leave the EU? Simply put, our plan is to follow our system and not be enticed by the media and other external noise to turn to the left or to the right. Their conflicted reports can often lead to confusion and result in inaction. Don’t get me wrong. There’s a time to do nothing, but that should be dertermined from your charts and not from confusion. The charts will not tell you what is going to happen. Nobody can predict the future!!! What they can do is give you a clear and concise picture of what is going on right now and that picture is often quite different than what the so called experts are reporting. Sure some of them are correct, but remember hindsight is 20/20. The trick is to tell which ones are correct now and only the charts will tell the truth!! I would also be amiss not to add that seeking God and his guidance will give you an edge that the others will never ever have!!! So on to this coming week. After reviewing the charts I have determined that they indeed took a lot of damage. However, they are not yet giving sell signals. Until they do we must stay the course. After all, whose to say that the world might not decide on Monday the Brexit is not such a bad thing and who knows what effect the additional money coming into our market from a world economy that views the United Sates as a safe haven might have? We must not panic and sell until the charts tell us to do so for that reason. REMEMBER, PANIC IS NOT A STRATEGY!! That said our charts currently tell us that we might have a day or so before we sell if indeed the market continues to decline. Our system is to react to the action that’s before us as it unfolds. We use our charts to interpret what is actually happening amid all the noise from whatever calamity that’s taking place and right now that calamity is the Brexit!!!!!!!

So how much damage did it do? Our TSP allotment suffered a significant loss of -4.05% wiping out most of our gains for the year in a single session. For comparison the Dow dropped a whopping -3.39%, the Nasdaq -4.12%, and the S&P 500 -3.59%. None of it good.

 

Wall Street eyes low rates, earnings after Brexit rout

 

The days carnage left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Sell, and F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/S but will move our money if the S Fund generates a sell signal in the coming days and it becomes necessary to preserve our capital. Our allocation is now +2.43% on the year. Here are the latest posted results:

06/24/16 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.0497 17.7875 27.7791 35.3053 22.6615
$ Change 0.0008 0.1006 -1.0364 -1.4782 -1.9385
% Change day +0.01% +0.57% -3.60% -4.02% -7.88%
% Change week +0.04% +0.21% -1.62% -1.66% -1.71%
% Change month +0.12% +1.24% -2.71% -2.58% -5.84%
% Change year +0.90% +4.91% +0.79% +0.20% -5.95%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.9151 23.2613 25.0229 26.459 14.912
$ Change -0.1747 -0.5333 -0.8146 -1.0078 -0.6496
% Change day -0.97% -2.24% -3.15% -3.67% -4.17%
% Change week -0.28% -0.70% -1.00% -1.18% -1.35%
% Change month -0.55% -1.50% -2.18% -2.57% -2.96%
% Change year +0.80% +0.23% -0.16% -0.42% -0.76%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
 
C Fund:
C Fund
S Fund:
S Fund
I Fund:
I Fund
F Fund:
F Fund
Friday was a bad day to be sure, but it’s what you do when the market is volatile that determines how your investments perform. As bad as it may seem two things remain unchanged. They are the same yesterday, today, and tomorrow. God is still on the throne and He has promised us that He will not leave or forsake us even until the end of the world. So how do you really best handle times like these?? Put your faith in Him and not in the things of this world. For this world will pass away, but He will never pass away! Have a great weekend and remember, don’t sweat the small stuff and all stuff is small stuff!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




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