05/22/2026

Hi, this is Wayne again : )

-For Your Reference-
I am in 100% C fund (S&P 500)
VIX is: 19.35
Fear & Greed Index: 58

The current market environment is not a simple bullish or bearish transition, but rather a transitional phase shaped by multiple overlapping forces. Capital has not exited risk assets. Instead, it has become increasingly concentrated in core names with strong growth narratives and capital efficiency, while also rotating into defensive sectors and assets backed by tangible value. This dynamic is keeping the major indices supported, even as internal indexes breadth and structure show clear divergence. In this context, pullbacks should no longer be viewed purely as risk, but as structural opportunities—provided one can correctly identify where capital is actually flowing. Meanwhile, the revival of the IPO market and the emergence of new themes such as quantum computing suggest that risk appetite remains relatively elevated.

Overall, in the short term, the indexes will continue to be influenced by interest rates and geopolitical developments.
In the medium term, the key inflection point will be the revaluation of the AI supply chain. Oil prices will serve as the most critical leading indicator, as their impact on interest rates will directly determine whether equity valuations can be sustained or further expanded.

The appearance of the purple bar (non-repaint), along with the BBS turning red, has already provided a clear exit signal.
At the same time:
  • The Six Sword indicator is currently in a mixed state
  • However, JJ and GT have not changed color yet
This suggests that the broader trend has not fully reversed.
As a result, I am still holding the position for now.
From a technical standpoint, the indexes is clearly experiencing an overextended deviation, which typically precedes a more meaningful pullback.
A larger correction is likely ahead, and when that move materializes, we will look to take profits.
In the daily chart above:
JJ indicator is in blue.
MACD (12,26,9) with EMA above the centerline 0-axis.
BBS(9) is in red.
J 21 is above the centerline 0-axis.
Guandin indicator is in the green.
BD4 shows exit signal
BD9 shows exit signal
Stch MTM crossed down
– Wayne : )

For TSP TIPS, the current recommended allocation is: 

100 % C fund (S&P 500) 
May God bless..
PS:
please give will to:  www.stjude.org/donatetoday
No-kill animal shelter: http://www.camanoanimalshelter.com
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Remember that this is only a recommendation. Please feel free to alter it in any way that you feel comfortable with and by all means if what your doing is working great for you, then keep on doing it!



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  • 05/22/2026

    Hi, this is Wayne again : ) -For Your Reference- I am in 100% C fund (S&P 500) VIX is: 19.35 Fear & Greed Index: 58 The current market environment is not a simple bullish or bearish transition, but rather a transitional phase shaped by multiple overlapping forces. Capital has not exited risk assets. Instead, it has…


  • 05/14/2026

    For Your Reference- I move in 100% C fund (S&P 500) Vix is 18.75 Fear & Greed Index: 66 The indexes is currently at a critical intersection between an AI-driven valuation regime shift and rising macroeconomic pressures. Capital has not exited the market; instead, it remains concentrated in core assets with strong long-term growth narratives. As long…


  • *****Interfund Transfer*****

    Good Day, It’s time to adjust our mix. The new mix is 100/C. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. Those future contributions should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your…