Good Morning, It’s been a while since I posted here. Although, I have posted on Facebook. I realize that some of you don’t get on Facebook for various reasons and I am Okay with that, but I will say that it is the fastest way for us to disseminate information, So based on that we will continue to post first and foremost on our website and Facebook page.

My, did last month fly by. Between the many moves of the Trump administration and the war in Iraq we are never void of geo political market making news. That’s for sure. The term roller coaster totally applies to this market. Literally the only way to keep track of where you are is through the long term moving averages. So where do we find ourselves now? Rebounding on M0nday after a horrendous sell off on Friday. My understanding is that it was the worst single day for the Nasdaq since something like April of 2025. That was all caused by Broadcoms poor guidance which sent chills through the AI industry most specifically in companies involved in the production of microchips. I find it extremely difficult to fathom how investors could put so much stock into a company like Broadcom (AVGO). While the company has recently invested heavily in an AI buildout it has hardly been a leader in the tech sector. So why does it suddenly carry so much weight?? It is absolutely not in the same class with Micron, Marvel, Nvidia, or Google. That was my reaction to the panic selling which followed their guidance. Here is my post from Facebook on Saturday after the selling. It’s still relevant now. This is where I think we’re heading this week.

“Obviously, Friday was a bad day. So where do we find ourselves now? Looking at the chart for the SPY I see solid support in the 710 range. That would constitute a drop of about 3.6% from Fridays close and if that holds a total drop of slightly over 6% from Thursdays close. In reality, the 5 EMA is still well above the 20EMA. #1 Should resistance hold at the 710 level it would be hard if not impossible to move to the G Fund with out losing ground on the subsequent rebound. #2 As long as the 5 EMA remains above the 50 EMA there is absolutely no valid reason to sell. Given the current nature of this headline driven market, I would not be surprised to see a sharp rebound when it takes place. A dip of 6 to 7% simply does not give you enough room to effectively get back into the market at that point. I would add that is especially true given the delay when trading within TSP. Thus, I view any selling this point as panic driven selling. There may be a point at which we would consider selling but that is so distant that I can’t even envision it at this point. So hang in there and be patient. PANIC is not a strategy! At this point all we have is a one day selloff due to heavy sector rotation with many large firms taking some profit to make room for the upcoming IPO of SpaceX. The SpaceX IPO will be the biggest in the history of the stock market and it’s overall effect cannot be overlooked. I could get more into this but I’ll leave it there for now.”

That is what I wrote and that pretty much sums it up. Other than that we have the same old on again off again war, economy, interest rate sort of scenario that we have had for the past several months. Nothing has changed. We will continue to look long term with our investments and try our best to sidestep all the short term volatility. The AI trade is still viable and should continue to lead the market higher. For now we will remain invested at 100/C,

I’d also like to thank Wayne for his posts. His blogs tend to be more on the technical side of things in contrast to what I post. He has great success in his investing while being extremely focused on capital preservation. I have encouraged him to continue to blog here. So you should hear more from him later this week!

Today’s trading so far has left us with the foll0wing results: Our TSP allotment is trading higher at +0.64%. For comparison, the Dow is adding +0.31%, the Nasdaq +0.94%, and the S&P 500 +0.64%. Praise God for a nice day. I find it much more preferable than Friday, don’t you?

Stocks gain as chipmakers rebound from rout, Iran halts Israel attacks: Live updates

Recent action has left us with the following signals: C-Hold, S-Buy, I-Hold, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now -2.55% for the year not including the days gains. Here are the latest posted results:

More Prices & Returns

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. Please click each link to view the respective chart. If you want to learn more about technical analysis check out the website StockCharts.com.

C Fund:

S Fund:

I Fund:

F Fund:

Nothing to add here. We just need to strap into our seats and ride the coaster. That’s all for this week. Have a great day and may God continue to bless your trades!

God bless, Scott 

***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.

I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.

If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com.