07/18/19

Good Evening, “When you have only so much stimulus at your disposal, it pays to act quickly to lower rates at the first sign of economic distress,” New York Federal Reserve President John Williams in a speech at a research conference in New York. The market was having another flatish day until Mr. Williams made the above statement. Investors decided chances of a rate decrease increased so they bid stocks back above even in the afternoon session. There’s no use in making  things more complicated than they are. That’s what’s driving the market at this time. Although, I will add that it was reported today that the Chinese trade negotiations are having difficulty due to restrictions still in place on certain Chinese Tech companies that have been declared as security risks by the US. Those negotiations do pose some headwind for the market at this time…..

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of +0,36%. For comparison, the Dow was flat at +0.01%, the Nasdaq added +0.27%, and the S&P 500 was up +0.36%. Praise God for a day in the green.

 

Wall Street rises as Fed’s Williams cements rate-cut expectations

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +11.58 % not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

07/17/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.2132 19.2354 43.2693 52.9032 30.4942
$ Change 0.0009 0.0604 -0.2841 -0.2501 -0.0564
% Change day +0.01% +0.32% -0.65% -0.47% -0.18%
% Change week +0.03% +0.28% -0.97% -0.90% -0.20%
% Change month +0.10% -0.09% +1.54% +0.68% -0.23%
% Change year +1.38% +6.02% +20.35% +20.30% +14.15%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.6651 28.5038 33.0744 36.1782 21.0264
$ Change -0.0154 -0.0289 -0.0842 -0.1109 -0.0741
% Change day -0.07% -0.10% -0.25% -0.31% -0.35%
% Change week -0.11% -0.15% -0.39% -0.47% -0.54%
% Change month +0.24% +0.29% +0.51% +0.58% +0.65%
% Change year +4.95% +6.38% +11.60% +13.62% +15.34%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.

 

C Fund:

 

S Fund:

 

I Fund:

 

 

F Fund:

 

We knew the market would be choppy going into our current trade. The next market moving event will likely be the Fed rate decision on July 31st. If it goes our way and the Fed drops the rates we should make some money. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!

God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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