09/14/2021

Good Evening, My 88 year old mother has been admitted to the hospital so I will keep this one short tonight. I covet your prayers for her. Those of you in the military will know what I mean when I say she was a good military wife. The market initially rallied in the morning session when the consumer price index came in less than expected by economists but fell in the afternoon session as has become a pattern in recent ...

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09/07/2021

Good Evening, The market continues to be driven by Covid-19 and it’s effect on the economic recovery. Today the market sold off again as investors openly worried about the resurgence in Covid-19 due to the Delta variant. Adding fuel to the fire was a report that Goldman Sachs  downgraded its economic outlook over the weekend, citing the delta variant and fading fiscal stimulus. Goldman now sees 5.7% annual growth in 2021, below the 6.2% consensus. The firm cut its fourth-quarter GDP ...

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08/31/2021

Good Evening, It’s certainly been an interesting week hasn’t it. I don’t often make investment decisions based on fundamentals. I am for the most part a technical analyst and stick to what I know best. However, occasionally when the fundamentals strongly agree with a trend I am starting to see on my charts I have learned at great cost a time or two not to ignore it. This past week was one of those times when I made a decision ...

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******Interfund Transfer********

Good Afternoon, It’s time to adjust our allocation. The new allocation is 100/C. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. That deposit should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your deposit in the event that it is made on a bad day for the market. The funds that accumulate in the ...

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08/24/2021

Good Evening, I’ll keep this short tonight. It’s late and I’m tired. The short story…..is there a short story?? Well I’ll just have to do the best that I can. Every time you think things are normal again it’s like welcome to the age of Covid 19! I made it 22 months without so much as having a cold. Really! That’s probably a record for me, but the inevitable finally happened. I got a sore throat. So I thought to ...

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******Interfund Transfer******

Good Morning, It’s time to adjust our allocation. The new allocation is 100/G. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. That deposit should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your deposit in the event that it is made on a bad day for the market. The funds that accumulate in ...
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08/17/2021

Good Evening, The market has been setting record after record as the major indices have continued to rise despite concerns about the global economic recovery and the delta strain of COVID 19. However, today markets took a double barreled shot with news that the worlds second largest economy China reported that retail sales in that country rose at an 8.5% clip year over year, which was slower than the 11.5% expectation and likely a reflection over fears about the Covid-19 ...

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08/10/2021

Good Evening, The market remains in a trading range balanced between economic progress and new cases of the delta variant of COVID 19. Todays economic progress came in the way of a $1 trillion dollar infrastructure plan passed by the Senate. The Senate’s infrastructure plan, which includes $550 billion in new spending on transportation and broadband, is expected to help give the economy a boost as peak growth slows following the reopening from the pandemic. With regard to new cases of ...

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08/03/2021

Good Evening, The S&P 500 moved to a new record today which means our allocation cut a new high for the year as well. Of course that’s good and that’s why we’re invested in equities and right now the chart for the C Fund is in solid shape. All that noted I must say that I believe some storm clouds are starting to gather. So where do I start? I guess with COVID. The seven-day average of daily coronavirus cases ...

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07/27/2021

Good Evening, The market turned down today as it awaits tomorrow afternoons statement following this weeks Fed meeting. The selling broke a string of five consecutive days of gains for the S&P 500. While this type of rest should be considered normal and healthy there have been some troubling signals from some of our indicators telling us to keep an eye out for a possible correction. The two that stick out the most to me are the Transportation and Utilities ...

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